نوع مقاله: پژوهشی
نویسندگان
دانشکده مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه صنعتی شریف
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Determination of particulate matter (PM) levels, as one of the most important pollutants, requires dense monitoring stations network in megacities. Extending monitoring network, especially in regions with sparse monitoring sites, needs a significant economic source and may be rejected due to feasibility considerations. During the last decade, remotely sensed atmospheric data are known as a cost- effective way with appropriate and comprehensive spatial and temporal coverage to estimate ground-based PM concentrations. In this regard, aerosol optical depth (AOD), which represents the amount of aerosol in the column of atmosphere, was used as an independent satellite derived product to predict PM values in monitoring stations. Also, meteorological variables can be used as auxiliary parameters to improve model performance during validation period.In this study, a statistical model was developed using AOD along with effective meteorological parameters to estimate ground level of $PM_{10}$ (particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter less than $10mu$m).AOD was extracted from 6 collections 6 of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) by 3 km spatial resolution over Tehran during Marchof 2009. Meteorological variables can specify vertical distributions in atmospheric November column and optical properties of PM, and they are capable to improve AOD and PMs relationship. So, to improve the model performance, model it is developed by meteorological parameters. The meteorological parameters were collected from synoptic stations in Tehran, every 3 hours, during the study period. The linear mixed effect model was fitted into all independent variables to examine their influence on $PM_{10}$ concentrations. The results showed that the proposed model could explain concentration accurately with relative high correlation coefficient of the variation of daily $PM_{10}$
( $R^2$ = 0.77 ). Statistical model performance was acceptable during cross validation with 0.88 ($R^2$ = 0.61 ).
The model had the best performance during correlation coefficient of 0.78 autumn with root mean square error (RMSE) of $15.4mu$g/$m^3$, while the worst one occurred in summer with RMSE of $19.3mu$g/$m^3$.
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